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Press and media generated by SPECULATE about Structured Speculation.


Press and media generated by SPECULATE about Structured Speculation.

Structured Speculation Promises a new way for humanity to work together.

Will it live up to the Promise?

Voiceover: “From American Public Media:”

Kai Ryssdal (KR): I’m Kai Ryssdal. Anthonio Pettit is the founder of Structured Speculation, a new method for problem solving using AI that has been generating excitement—and some skepticism—since it was first announced last year ago. Anthonio Pettit, welcome to Marketplace.

AP: “Thank you, Kai”

KR:  So, I gotta say, I am a little bit excited about this. I mean you are, in some respects, taking on one of the most elemental problems that we as humans have, which is that we can’t seem to get along and solve big problems together. So what’s the idea behind Structured Speculation?

AP: “The basic idea is that if we want to achieve certain outcomes—whether it’s developing a new technology or curing a disease—we need to be able to identify all of the conditions that need to be met in order for that outcome to occur. Once we know all of the conditions, then we can develop a plan—a sort of recipe—for achieving those conditions.”

KR:  And you do that using AI?

AP: “Yes, specifically Deep Learning which is a branch of AI. Algorithms are trained on data sets representing different domains like medical research or technological development—so that they can learn to identify patterns and relationships. Then, given a desired outcome, the algorithm can generate a list of conditions necessary for that outcome.”

KR:  And how do you get people to buy into this? Because you’re talking about some pretty hairy stuff here; curing cancer or ensuring world peace are not small potatoes.

AP: “Well, first of all, it’s important to note that Structured Speculation is not about predicting the future. It’s about identifying the set of conditions necessary for a particular outcome to occur. So, for example, if we wanted to achieve world peace, we would need to identify all of the conditions necessary for that outcome—like disarmament treaties, international cooperation, etc.—and then develop a plan for achieving those conditions.”

KR:  But even assuming you could do all that…I mean why would people go along with it? Who’s going enforce all these plans and agreements?

AP: “That’s where the blockchain comes in. The blockchain is a distributed database that records transactions between parties in an immutable way. This means that once an agreement is recorded on the blockchain, it cannot be altered without everyone involved agreeing to the change. So if there was an agreement between two countries to disarm their nuclear weapons, both countries would have to agree before any changes could be made.”

KR:  That sounds great in theory but I’m still not sure how you convince people to actually use this system. What’s in it for them?

AP: “The main benefit is increased trust and transparency. With traditional methods for solving problems—like negotiation or voting—it can often be difficult to tell whether or not everyone involved is truly committed to finding a solution. With Structured Speculation, because everything is transparent and recorded on the blockchain, everyone knows exactly what they need to do in order for the agreement to be successful. This increases the chances that agreements will actually be carried out.”

KR:  “And what about those of us whose aspirations are maybe a little less, you know, world-saving? I mean can this system be used for more mundane tasks like planning a party or organizing a trip?”

AP: “Absolutely. The possibilities are really only limited by our imagination. Any time there is a group of people who want to achieve something together, Structured Speculation can be used to develop a plan for achieving that goal.”

KR:  Anthonio Pettit is the founder of Structured Speculation. Anthonio, thanks so much for your time.

AP: “Thank you, Kai.”

Generated by SPECULATE – ©2022 The Structured Speculation Foundation

Disclaimer: This fictional sample content was generated as a demonstration and is intended for informational purposes only. It does not constitute an endorsement by nor affiliation with Marketplace Money or American Public Media)

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